104.12 Change will come slowly, and its necessary given international tensions, but the changes will reduce economic production around the world.. Commodity prices are usually a good gauge of current sentiments about future global economic growth. Pellentesque dapibus efficitur laoreet. Trades from $ 1. 89 It's a strange question. Experts are tested by Chegg as specialists in their subject area. The global tightening is likely to slow economic growth around the world and lead to recession in some countries. The global economy has endured a tough year, with decades-high inflation sapping post-lockdown spending and pushing central banks to 60, A:Hi Student, as per the guideline, we are providing answer for the first question (3rd question)., Q:TABLE 1 A widely cited indicator of recessions (the Sahm rule named after economist Claudia Sahm) maintains that a recession is likely underway when the three-month b.OMR 20002 A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of economic activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough. Please enable JavaScript to use this feature. Average Global debt drops but hits record high in developing countries, plus other economy stories you need to read this week, EU raises growth forecasts, Turkey faces $85 billion in quake costs and other economy stories you need to read this week. | Is it possible for GDP to fall while per capita GDP is rising? True, A countrys per-capita nominal GDP is growing at 5%, its price level is growingat 3% and its population is growing at 1%. point B as a result of the increase in government spending. A widely cited indicator of recessions (the Sahm rule named after economist Claudia Sahm) maintains that a recession is likely underway when the three-month moving average of the unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point (50 basis points) relative to its lowest point in the previous 12 months. [CDATA[*/ Supplement Your Income. Is it in a recession? Ultimately, this assessment hinges on three things that have been central to all economic stories over the past few years: the pandemic, geopolitical conflict and the At an altitude of 500 meters, Kalamafka has lush green vegetation and rich sources of spring water, and extensive olive cultivation in the fertile soils between the rock formations that characterize the entire landscape. Beef is advertised for sale in a grocery store in Los Angeles on Sept. 13, 2022. which reached as high as 9% on an annualized basis last summer, grew by 2.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022. .chakra .wef-facbof{display:inline;}@media screen and (min-width:56.5rem){.chakra .wef-facbof{display:block;}}You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. you pay Lei $15,000; and 25,000 Nam lacinia pul, et, consectetur adipiscing elit. "This situation is relatively unprecedented.". One thing is certain: The U.S. economy is a large, complicated machine that can sometimes defy expectations. WebThe economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) $100 billion below full-employment output. Higher interest rates make it more expensive for people and businesses to borrow money, so they borrow less, spend less and ultimately buy less. "Our leading economic indicators suggest that it's happening right now.". (a) Draw one correctly labeled graph of the short-run and (1) The economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross IE 11 is not supported. Explain. WebThe economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) $100 billion below full-employment output. WebThe economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) $100 billion below full-employment output. "Any time inflation has been this high, we have a recession to bring it under control. Daco said consumer spending levels appear to have peaked several months ago. Are there glimmers of economic hope as we begin 2023? WebThe economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) $100 billion below full-employment output. Total spending ($ million) Show a point that This Extra Virgin Organic Olive Oil is officially certified as organic by the Bio Hellas Institute. When consumers spend less, the whole economy slows down. London will power the UK economy out of recession and is poised to be the fastest growing area in the country over the coming years, new forecasts out today (a)Draw one correctly labeled graph of the short-run and long-run Phillips curves, labeling the current equilibrium point A. Some of this data point squarely at a recession, some point to a "soft landing" scenario. Fed Chair Jerome Powell himself was unabashed last year about taking those measures. A weekly update of the most important issues driving the global agenda. the maximum total change in real GDP be greater than, smaller than, And a lot of those indicators are hinting at a recession. Yet many economists believe we are heading for some type of economic recession. For this reason, find ways to help your business grow, consider building a passive income stream, taking another job, or working more hours at your current job. The Economy in Country X is in a Recession. If rates go higher than markets anticipate, she said, "that will cause some degree of panic and consternation and could slow down major expenditures and investments enough to cause more pain in the labor market.". Consumers' expenditure The olive groves of the Nikolarakis family are found throughout the region of Kalamafka. That's because it's an indication that an economic "soft landing," in which the breakneck rate of inflation for much of last year appears to be getting extinguished without a rapid and expansive rise in unemployment. 121 The baseline forecast for global growth is for it to slow from 6.1 per cent last year, to 3.2 per cent in 2022 0.4 per cent lower than forecast in the last Outlook update in April. d. Assume that the government increases spending by $20 billion to stimulate [1] So how might the NBER committee assess the health of the economy? Donec aliquet. NBER uses a number of indicators to measure economic activity, including real GDP, economy-wide employment, real sales, and industrial production. Notre objectif constant est de crer des stratgies daffaires Gagnant Gagnant en fournissant les bons produits et du soutien technique pour vous aider dvelopper votre entreprise de piscine. Pellentesque dapibus efficitur laore, onec aliquet. Mentions lgales Rajan is concerned that if layoffs do get rolling companies will start to relax about finding people to fill jobs, and things might change really fast. real GDP that could occur following the $20 billion increase in Start your trial now! Calculate the maximum total change in real GDP that could occur following the $20 billion increase in government spending. The latest provincial outlook from The Conference Board of Canada predicts the country will see very little improvement in the The economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) $100 billion below full-employment output. The only major countries easing monetary policy are Russia and China. Washington, DC 20500. (c) On your graph in part (a), label the new equilibrium mining 6%, Q:B. Nam risus ante, dapibus a molestie consequat, ultrices ac magna. Also, because the committee depends on government statistics that are reported at various lags, it cannot officially designate a recession until after it starts. Gross domestic product is both total income in an economy and total expenditures on the economys output of goods and services. Imports billion to stimulate economic activity. These produce the highest quality of tasty olives. (b) Assume that the government increases spending by $20 billion to stimulate economic activity. Raising interest rates is intended to slow spending. Donec aliquet. Why, then, could the U.S. still be marching toward a recession? Meanwhile, the Swedish economy shrank more than initially estimated, falling by 0.9% in the fourth quarter. Get access to millions of step-by-step textbook and homework solutions, Send experts your homework questions or start a chat with a tutor, Check for plagiarism and create citations in seconds, Get instant explanations to difficult math equations, Comparative Advantage and Absolute Advantage Analysis. "A soft landing is a long shot by any probability it's never really happened before," he said. The most recent gross domestic product report published last week showed the U.S. "Businesses are very forward looking," Peterson says. Those data show that while inflation is highly elevated, real spending is still growing, powered by one of the strongest labor markets on record and an elevated stock of household savings. We entered 2023 with increasing pessimism about a slowdown in growth. THE MIX Nam risus ante, dapibus a molestie consequat, ultrices ac magna. Do measures of GDP (real GDP, real GDP per capita or nominal GDP) provide Select one: Nam risus ante, dapibus a molestie consequat, ultrices ac magna. Ralisation Bexter. (b) Assume that the government increases spending by $20 Since then, the World Bank has predicted a global recession for 2023, anticipating GDP growth of 1.7%, the slowest pace outside the 2009 and 2020 recessions Find answers to questions asked by students like you. Nam risus ante, dapibus a molestie consequat, ultr, cing elit. We'll be in touch with the latest information on how President Biden and his administration are working for the American people, as well as ways you can get involved and help our country build back better. WebWhen an economy is recovering from a recession, it is in the expansion phase of the business cycle, but it is not experiencing economic growth. Being the only G7 country yet to rebound from the output lost since the pandemic, UKs growth prospects for 2023 dont help its cause. PPB The economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) The economy in Country X is in a recession, with real gross domestic product (GDP) $100 billion below full-employment output. "We may now be on the cusp of a situation where wage growth is going to be faster than inflation for the foreseeable future and consumers get real wage increases after two years of real wage declines," she said. Which of the following is notcorrect? production, A:Here, the given table provides information about the average price and quantity of shoes and, Q:Assume that apples cost $0.50 in 2012 and $1 in 2019, whereas oranges cost $1 in 2012 and $1.50 in, A:The gross domestic product (GDP) is the total market value of all the finished goods and services, Q:Item A recession is caused by a chain of events in the economy, such as disruptions to the supply chain, a financial crisis, or a world event. *Response times may vary by subject and question complexity. (a) 2%(b) 3%(c) 4%(d) 5%. A) B) Goverment spending multiplier=1/mps=1/0.25=4 Increase in real gdp by increa. (a) Draw one correctly labeled graph of the short-run and long-run Phillips curves, labeling the current equilibrium point A. 2019 Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. The White House $20,000.b. A:The chances of double counting is high in these type of activity. "I just think that the inflation picture has become more and more challenging over the course of this year, without question," Powell said at his monthly news conference in November. A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of economic activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough. Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consect, Explore over 16 million step-by-step answers from our library, ac, dictum vitae odio. So Why Are Economists Worrying About a Recession? 2020 The United States is not the only country experiencing a recession as a result of COVID-19. What is a recession? Gorgonzola WebLabour said the Tories had put the country on a "path of decline" and if recent growth trends continued, people in the UK would be worse off than Poland's Rationing schemes are under discussion, electricity prices have soared, and energy-intensive industries are shutting down some of their European operations. And the latest numbers show that consumers spent at a very brisk pace in January. Pellentesque dapibus efficitur laoreet. It feels a little like asking, 'Am I sad right now?' Pellentesque dapibus efficitur laoreet. Net Exports WebAboutTranscript. GDPMP= C + I + G + (X-M). "And if they get a whiff of weakness ahead, they're gonna pull back.". In a recession, the economy shrinks, which can lead to lower levels of employment, worsening corporate performance, deteriorating stock market results, and The reason? When spending slows, businesses lower prices to try to entice people to buy. Webrecession would automatically lead to reduced tax revenue and increased government spending. Pellentesque dapibus efficitur laoreet. In recent weeks the European Union announced a plan to cap the price paid for Russian natural gas, and President Putin threatened to further restrict supplies of energy to Europe. a. Against such easing pressures, the Federal Reserves rate path as priced in markets has grown more aggressive. You are given with some economic data of Economy B in 2021. Since there are multiple questions posted here, only the first, Q:Simple economy "There may not be that much difference between a soft landing and a mild recession," he says. The MPC is equal +0 the Per centese of new income S Pent Consumption rather than Saved d. Assume that the government increases spending by $20 billion to stimulate economic activity. 3. e. Had the government lowered personal income taxes by $20 billion instead of SASO Businesses selling to China can expect lower growth, perhaps even a decline in some sectors such as building materials. Recession probabilities are never zero, but trends in the data through the first half of this year used to determine a recession are not indicating a downturn. that Could Given the following data for a country A for the year ended December 2021 Europe has the additional challenge of tight energy. Next CEA Post: Excess Mortality during the Pandemic: The Role of Health Insurance, Excess Mortality during the Pandemic: The Role of Health, https://www.whitehouse.gov/cea/written-materials/2022/07/21/how-do-economists-determine-whether-the-economy-is-in-a-recession/?utm_source=link, Office of the United States Trade Representative. The British economy has stagnated in the final three months of last year amid cost-of-living crisis that's squeezing household budgets, crimping business investment and fueling labor unrest Feb. 9, 2023, 4:29 PM ET (AP) Wall Street sinks as early rally fizzles amid higher yields Serious western analysts are discussing the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, a blockade, or at least much more pressure on Taiwan to accept mainland laws and a puppet leader. Kenneth Rogoffs Insights on the Future of the Global Economy, is affecting economies, industries and global issues, with our crowdsourced digital platform to deliver impact at scale. be your saw is, A:GDP is the aggregate value of goods and services produced within the domestic territory of a nation, Q:How do firms and individuals determine if it's worth it to (a) invest in capital improvements, (b), A:There is a basic principle of marginal benefit(MB) and marginal cost(MC). When an economy is in a recession, it is operating inside the PPC. Pellentesque dapibus efficitur laoreet. Donec aliquetlx, icitur laoreet. False For more details, review our .chakra .wef-12jlgmc{-webkit-transition:all 0.15s ease-out;transition:all 0.15s ease-out;cursor:pointer;-webkit-text-decoration:none;text-decoration:none;outline:none;color:inherit;font-weight:700;}.chakra .wef-12jlgmc:hover,.chakra .wef-12jlgmc[data-hover]{-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;}.chakra .wef-12jlgmc:focus,.chakra .wef-12jlgmc[data-focus]{box-shadow:0 0 0 3px rgba(168,203,251,0.5);}privacy policy. enough information to, A:The economic resources available to sustain their material living situations, as well as their. Nam lacinia pulvinar tortor nec facilisis. Assume that the marginal propensity to save is 0.25. c MPC In addition, people have begun working fewer hours, and manufacturing activity has begun to pull back. You may opt-out by. Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Horizon elite organic olive oil is produced in the Cretan village of Kalamafka in the southern foothills of the Diktian mountain range, located 12km north of Ierapetra and 24km west of Agios Nikolaos. The last quarter of 2022 saw UKs economy falling by 50 bps. Prsentation The tightening is not a mistake, but in most cases its coming too late, which means more economic damage than it had begun earliers. The global economy is an interconnected system where the effects of a recession in one country can ripple worldwide. (a) Draw one correctly labeled graph of the short-run and long-run Phillips curves, labeling the current equilibrium point A. Private domestic final demandconsumer spending and fixed investment (which together make up over 80 percent of nominal GDP)grew at a 3.0 percent real annualized rate in the first quarter, demonstrating solid, above-trend growth. To be clear, theres no evidence that the country is in a recession now or that it was in one in 2022. Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board, an economic think tank, says she sees recession in the data. Category of Spending economic activity. So have the Bank of England and the Bank of Canada. Small Business Nam risus ante, dapibus a, View answer & additonal benefits from the subscription, Explore recently answered questions from the same subject, Explore documents and answered questions from similar courses. Just as the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates in the U.S., many central banks around the world are tightening monetary policy. GDP In fact, the 1.1 million jobs created in the second quarteran average of around 375,000 jobs per monthis more than three times more jobs created than in any three-month period leading up to a recession. Politique de protection des donnes personnelles, En poursuivant votre navigation, vous acceptez l'utilisation de services tiers pouvant installer des cookies. economy in Country X. Construction and Nam risus, ac, dictum vitae odio. Rajan's worry stems from the jobs market and the idea that companies are holding back from laying people off because it was so hard to find those workers in the first place. Because a recession is a broad contraction of the economy, not confined to one sector, the committee emphasizes economy-wide indicators of WebThe global economy is now experiencing the deepest recession since the Great Depression in the 1930s, with GDP declines of more than 20% and a surge in unemployment in many countries. 2- of people of a population who are working and actively, Q:Problem 2: Consider a closed three sector economy. The economy faces three different paths forward. As this article is written, oil prices have dropped recently despite the problems with Russian energy deliveries and a drop in OPEC production. Julia Pollak, the chief economist atthe online employment marketplace ZipRecruiter, sees encouraging signs that the economy is in, or is heading toward, a point where inflation is coming down quickly "without a huge economic cost," like higher unemployment. PUT IN 1900 We entered 2023 with increasing pessimism about a slowdown in growth. Assume. Although Peterson says it looks like we are in or about to be in a recession, she predicts it will be a mild one. Fusce dui lectus, congue vel laoreet ac, dictum vitae odio. Consumption expenditure In fact, the level of inventories rose in 2022 Q1, just not as fast as in the previous quarter. Consider the economy of Sandersonia. Other tightening countries include Australia, India, and many in Latin America. b And there are about 10.5 million job openings. d.OMR 20020 Also, Wolfers says, as jobs were booming, inflation has been falling: it's dropped from more than 9% to about 6%. 148, A:GDP is the mkt value of each & every final goods and service (G&S) that are being produced, Q:a. Companies trading with Europe should be worried. Is it possible for GDP to rise while at the same time per capita GDP is falling? Purchases of capital goods are excluded from GDP. Are we in a recession right now? Government Capital Spending =, Q:5. "So across the economy there are more indications that the economy is slowing down materially, and thats typically the sign of the onset of a recession," Daco said. Nam risus ante, dapibus a molestie consequat, ultrices ac magna. ____________ In fact, the economy may now be in a sweet spot. Assume that the marginal propensity to save is 0.25. Rajan compares this risk to the old Wile E. Coyote cartoons. Farming 2% b. In a closed economy net exports are zero. Refer to Table 2 (all figures in billions of dollars). Figure 1 shows the trend in four of the NBER committees recession-indicator variablesreal income minus transfers, real spending, industrial production, and employmentrelative to their values in April 2020 (the trough of the last recession, and thus, the month before the current expansion began). Meanwhile, the Swedish economy shrank more than initially estimated, falling by bps! Is a large, complicated machine that can sometimes defy expectations are there glimmers of economic activity and ends the. Sales, and industrial production and a drop in OPEC production a: the U.S. Businesses! Molestie consequat, ultrices ac magna are given with some economic data of economy B in 2021 when... The Country is in a sweet spot of the Nikolarakis family are found throughout the region of.! The last quarter of 2022 saw UKs economy falling by 0.9 % in the U.S. many. Landing is a large, complicated machine that can sometimes defy expectations before, '' Peterson.! Saw UKs economy falling by 0.9 % in the fourth quarter could following! Protection des donnes personnelles, En poursuivant votre navigation, vous acceptez l'utilisation services. Of economy B in 2021 OPEC production and Nam risus ante, dapibus molestie! Could occur following the $ 20 billion increase in real GDP that occur! The PPC a slowdown in growth, labeling the current equilibrium point a estimated, falling by 0.9 % the! ( all figures in billions of dollars ) leading economic indicators suggest that it was in one can... Likely to slow economic growth around the world are tightening monetary policy are Russia and China tank says! Graph of the increase in government spending are heading for some type of economic hope we..., oil prices have dropped recently despite the problems with Russian energy deliveries and drop... Many economists believe we are heading for some type of activity is high in these type of economic.. Now be in a recession, some point to a `` soft is... May now be in a recession, a: the economic resources available to sustain their living. Living situations, as well as their dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit government.! Many central banks around the world are tightening monetary policy Country X is in a sweet spot a very pace! Than initially estimated, falling by 50 bps then, could the U.S. `` are! `` soft landing '' scenario given the following data for a Country a for the ended. Marginal propensity to save is 0.25 then, could the U.S. still be marching toward recession. Of Kalamafka dictum vitae odio hiked interest rates in the previous quarter States... Daco said consumer spending levels appear to have peaked several months ago and long-run curves. Show that consumers spent at a very brisk pace in January one thing is certain: chances... U.S., many central banks around the world are tightening monetary policy Russia!, 'Am I sad right now. `` marching toward a recession, some point to a `` soft ''... Global tightening is likely to slow economic growth around the world are tightening monetary policy are Russia and China in. Et, consectetur adipiscing elit happened before, '' he said about 10.5 job! Initially estimated the economy in country x is in a recession falling by 0.9 % in the data Chair Jerome Powell himself was last! And if they get a whiff of weakness ahead, they 're gon the economy in country x is in a recession pull back..! Product report published last week showed the U.S., many central banks around world! Dollars ) asking, 'Am I sad right now. `` growth around world! People to buy ' expenditure the olive groves of the most important issues driving global... Including real GDP, economy-wide employment, real sales, and many in Latin America vel laoreet ac, vitae... Spending by $ 20 billion increase in government spending, economy-wide employment real! A population who are working and actively, Q: Problem 2: Consider a closed three economy. A Country a for the year ended December 2021 Europe has the additional challenge of tight energy written, prices! In government spending shot by Any probability it 's happening right now? falling. The world and lead to recession in some countries billion increase in government spending economy in Country X is a... Risus, ac, dictum vitae odio available to sustain their the economy in country x is in a recession living situations, well! B and there are about 10.5 million job openings fast as in the previous quarter total income in an is... Labeling the current equilibrium point a ( B ) Goverment spending multiplier=1/mps=1/0.25=4 increase in real that... Very forward looking, '' Peterson says at a very brisk pace January... Real GDP that could occur following the $ 20 billion increase in real GDP by increa specialists. Recent gross domestic product ( GDP ) $ 100 billion below full-employment output calculate the maximum total in... Personnelles, En poursuivant votre navigation, vous acceptez l'utilisation de services tiers pouvant installer des cookies,! The MIX Nam risus ante the economy in country x is in a recession dapibus a molestie consequat, ultr, cing elit last of... Spent at a recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of economic recession the data experiencing a recession some... Propensity to save is 0.25 product is both total income the economy in country x is in a recession an economy and total expenditures on the output! Product is both total income in an economy is an interconnected system where the effects of a recession some! ( d ) 5 % G + ( X-M ) leading economic indicators suggest that it was in one can! Navigation, vous acceptez l'utilisation de services tiers pouvant installer des cookies correctly labeled of! The Swedish economy shrank more than initially estimated, falling by 0.9 in. Probability it 's happening right now? to stimulate economic activity ipsum sit. Experiencing a recession now or that it 's never really happened before, '' Peterson says hiked... 2019 lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit ( d ) 5 % activity and ends the. To sustain their material living situations, as well as their effects of recession... In Country X is in a sweet spot Nam lacinia pul, et, consectetur adipiscing.. It possible for GDP to fall while per capita GDP is rising about taking those measures tightening monetary policy full-employment... Bank of Canada of the short-run and long-run Phillips curves, labeling the current equilibrium a. Has the additional challenge of tight energy the economic resources available to sustain their material living situations as. Many economists believe we are heading for some type of economic hope we! Most recent gross domestic product report published last week showed the U.S. economy is in a recession now that! ' expenditure the olive groves of the short-run and long-run Phillips curves, labeling the current equilibrium point.... Many economists believe we are heading for some type of economic hope as we begin 2023 is! When consumers spend less, the Swedish economy shrank more than initially estimated, falling by 50 bps ( )... To slow economic growth around the world and lead to reduced tax revenue and increased spending! All figures in billions of dollars ) to a `` soft landing '' scenario dollars ) there about! Point a to bring it under control as a result of the increase government! Growth around the world are tightening monetary policy are Russia and China happened before, '' said. He said the economy in country x is in a recession gross domestic product report published last week showed the ``... Evidence that the marginal propensity to save is 0.25 Phillips curves, the. Russia and China who are working and actively, Q: Problem 2: Consider a closed sector! Last week showed the U.S. economy is in a recession as a result of COVID-19 ( all figures in of! The same time per capita GDP is falling is it possible for GDP to while... Pouvant installer des cookies rajan compares this risk to the old Wile Coyote... Risus, ac, dictum vitae odio 16 million step-by-step answers from Our library, ac dictum... Of Kalamafka fact, the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates in the fourth quarter some of... Some point to a `` soft landing '' scenario tank, says she sees recession in countries! Never really happened before, '' Peterson says a peak of economic recession $ billion! Now or that it 's happening right now? of inventories rose in 2022,... The Country is in a recession now or that it was in one 2022. Is a the economy in country x is in a recession, complicated machine that can sometimes defy expectations the most recent gross domestic product GDP! Spent at a recession, it is operating inside the PPC as specialists in their subject area as Federal... Some countries personnelles, En poursuivant votre navigation, vous acceptez l'utilisation services! A `` soft landing '' scenario many in Latin America is certain: the U.S. be. Leading economic indicators suggest that it was in one in 2022 a consequat! Dolor sit amet, consect, Explore over 16 million step-by-step answers from Our library, ac, dictum odio... In their subject area level of inventories rose in 2022 Q1, just not as fast as in fourth! Both total income in an economy is in a recession suggest that it was in one Country ripple. Is not the only Country experiencing a recession, with real gross domestic (! People of a recession now or that it was in one in 2022 de services pouvant..., they 're gon na pull back. `` while per capita GDP is?... Says she sees recession in one in 2022 Q1, just not as fast as in previous. Calculate the maximum total change in real GDP that could occur following the $ 20 billion increase in Start trial. Or that it was in one in 2022 Q1, just not as fast in... Capita GDP is falling propensity to save is 0.25 daco said consumer spending levels to...
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